Thursday, October 1, 2009

Pitt vs Louisville Predictions

Well last week was a rough one but almost comforting. The real seasons under Wanny don't start until he has blown a winnable game. Big East season opens up with an extremely winnable game against Louisville. Before I do my prediction I will say this; if we lose against Louisville the wheels are going to fall off this season badly.
  • I have a feeling Louisville is going to put up some points in the passing game. Unlike the coachspeak coming out of the staff this defensive problem isn't fixable by minor tweaks. We have to drop the 4-3 base defense every down formula and not doing that will lead to more 450+ yard games.
  • Dion Lewis will have a monster first half. Before teams begin to key on our running game Lewis has been spectacular. Once we hit the 3rd quarter the usual offensive slowdown will occur. 24 carries 100 yards 2 TDs
I'm drawing a big blank about what other things to predict about this game. I think you will see the exact same performance we saw against NC State for the offense. The defense should be able to get more stops just due to the lack of talent and execution Louisville will bring to the table. Just a note there will probably be very little content about this game over the weekend due to the fact that it is conflicting with the Pens home opener.

Pitt 24 Louisville 21

7 comments:

John said...

Jones, I think U of L is going to beat them, I hope I am wrong, Wanny just scares me to death.

His strategy seems so predictable on both sides of the ball. Krag is an idiot but U of L really needs this win, the home field advantage and I really think tonight the real Bill Stull will emerge true to his abilities.

J Jones said...

Wanny never loses easy Big East games. It is how he keeps his job.

rkohberger said...

John, in hindsight - what was your opinion of Stull's play?

Serious question...

John said...

Serious answer,

Stull played well, he tried to force a few throws and L'Ville dropped a few easy interceptions.

If Pitt would have limited their mistakes in the 1st half they would have won easily by 50.

Defense played its best game of the season (except for Max Gruder).

U of L is going to fire their coach before the end of the season he is an idiot.

UCONN will provide another stiff test because frankly their coach is very good and gets a lot from his players.

I will give credit and take shots if the product on the field warrants, Stull looks good and hopefully he doesn't digress.

As I said earlier, the easiest way to silence the critics and stop the boo's is just to win.

John said...

Serious answer,

Stull played well, he tried to force a few throws and L'Ville dropped a few easy interceptions.

If Pitt would have limited their mistakes in the 1st half they would have won easily by 50.

Defense played its best game of the season (except for Max Gruder).

U of L is going to fire their coach before the end of the season he is an idiot.

UCONN will provide another stiff test because frankly their coach is very good and gets a lot from his players.

I will give credit and take shots if the product on the field warrants, Stull looks good and hopefully he doesn't digress.

As I said earlier, the easiest way to silence the critics and stop the boo's is just to win.

johnny said...

John,

I think you meant "regress" instead of "digress", but other than that, I agree with your assessment 100%.

I will also state that thus far, I have been pleasantly surprised with the progress of Stull under Cig. I hope that he continues getting better from week to week.

rkohberger said...

Johnny - Stull's certainly shown some better play under Cignetti. I do think that Stull made passes at certain times last season that equal what we've seen this year, but was so inconsistent that the overwhelming impression was that he COULDN'T make those types of passes needed to be successful. That's where Cignetti has done his best work I think - coaching Stull on the things that perhaps aren't readily apparent to the fans. Of course understanding who and what he has at the position and game planning to strengths and limitations has gone a long way to our passing game's success also.

Which makes me think that if can do this with Bill Stull - the future may be very bright for Pat Bostick after this, hopefully full, redshirt season... and to Tino Sunseri.

Sunseri already has the physical attributes needed to be a starting QB - there is no doubt in my mind about that. And if Pat Bostick can be coached up by the OC to really round out his game we may see a true QB competition between two kids who both could contribute and do well, as opposed to what seemed like the "lesser of two evils" we saw in this year's preseason camp - if there was an actual competition at all.